What are the chances of a white Christmas in Germany in 2025?

We might all be dreaming of a white Christmas in Germany, but will it actually come? Like many a year gone by, the answer is: probably not.

Will it snow this Christmas in Germany?

From the day we are born, Christmas cards, songs, poems and paintings all tell us that, on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day, the ground has a thick blanket of snow and we are all unfalteringly merry. Experience tells us otherwise.

Unless you live close to or above the Arctic Circle, white Christmases are actually more of a four-or five-in-a-lifetime experience. And it's looking unlikely that December 24 and 25, 2025, are going to deliver.

According to Wetter.de, Munich and Nuremberg are currently the German cities most likely to see at least some snow on December 24, each with a 30 percent chance. In northern Germany, including Berlin and Hamburg, there is between a 15 and 25 percent chance of snow on Heiligabend.

Things are looking even less festive on the island of Heligoland, where there is just a 2 percent chance of snow this Christmas. Typically, it only snows on Heligoland at Christmas every 50 years. Right now, a white Christmas isn’t looking likely, but weather forecasts this far in advance are never 100 percent accurate.

Last white Christmas in Germany was in 2010

In over 100 years, Germany has only seen six white Christmases: in 1906, 1917, 1962, 1969, 1981 and 2010. With average winter temperatures only getting warmer, white Christmases are only likely to become less common.

If this is your first Christmas in Germany, enjoy the pre-Christmas warmer weather while it lasts. It’s usually only in January and February that the real chills kick in!